Hyderabad: Intense rainfall that has been pounding the state for the past three days, which has taken a toll on the entire geographical area of Telangana, will subside over the next two days, with scattered and less intense rains predicted for the rest of July.
Multiple weather systems were active in the state for a week influencing incessant rains in the state, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
An IMD official told Deccan Chronicle, “The well-marked low-pressure area lies over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts and associated cyclonic circulation is extending up to 7.6 km above mean sea level. Another upper end cyclonic circulation has moved over from Madhya Pradesh over to Rajasthan as well as the east-west wind shear zone is along latitude 20 degree north between 3.1 km and 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwards. Under these synoptic conditions, Telangana is likely to have light to moderate rains over most places and heavy rains over few places and extreme rains in one or two places.”
Mahesh Palawat, the vice president of meteorology and climate change for Skymet Weather, said that the current weather system of the low-pressure area would gradually degenerate into a cyclonic circulation in the next two to three days and is expected to move in the northwest direction, away from Telangana and towards north-interior Karnataka due to which the rain severity in the state will lessen.
On thunderstorms, which are a rare occurrence in monsoon, he said, “The conductive cumulonimbus clouds are developing and resulting in thunderstorms. Cumulonimbus clouds are very rare during the monsoon months, but due to climate change, we have been witnessing these types of thunder clouds for the past five to seven years. Thunderstorm clouds are pre-monsoon or post-monsoon activity.”
Furthermore, the El Nino effect is very likely to set in after the first week of August, owing to which rain activities will decrease over the south peninsular region, which would mean fewer rain spells in Telangana.
“Sea surface temperatures will sync with the atmosphere in the weeks ahead, whose impact will be seen from the second week of August, resulting in less rainfall. However, the new weather systems that might develop over the Bay of Bengal would also give good rains,” said Palawat.
